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T

imely intervention when floods or droughts

threaten can save lives and minimise economic

damage. Every euro invested in sound flood and

drought forecasts generates a return of four

hundred euros. This is the conclusion of a recent

study by Florian Pappenberger:

The Monetary Benefit of Early

FloodWarnings in Europe

.

The results will interest management agencies and govern­

ment bodies, but also commercial companies and insurers.

NGOs and organisations like the Red Cross need hydrological

forecasts to target their aid and rescue operations.

The global damage caused by droughts

and floods already costs billions and

that figure will only increase as climate

change continues. The good news:

hydrological forecasting systems are

becoming increasingly refined and

they earn back the investment many

times over.

BY DIMMIE HENDRIKS / PHOTO LARS VAN DEN BRINK

ACCURATE FORECASTS: 400

FOR EVERY EURO INVESTED

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